Reality is a new asset class.
Prediction-market vaults and the worldviews behind them.
Say what you believe. ZEIT turns it into a basket of live-market bets and tracks it on paper.
38 worldviews ranked on paper · 2 community worldviews
Heatmap · paper
HeatmapCancer vaccine BLA filed 68% +5 pts. Opens: We will cure cancerAnthropic hits 2T value 55% −13 pts. Opens: The AI datacenter buildout overwhelms American power gridsPeace talks commence 47% −7 pts. Opens: the US is swinging more towards republicansInflation at 4 5 percent 20% +3 pts. Opens: The AI arms race slows down into the end of 2026 with a major correction and then heats up again.
pricedCancer vaccine BLA filed 63% 68%Anthropic hits 2T value 69% 55%
23 rose3 flat12 fell
Any block opens the worldview behind it.
markedArrow keys move between worldviews.
Leaderboard · paper
- 1Google wins the AI race and OpenAI loses its crown+77.2%
15 bets · since Aug 15
- 2De-dollarization accelerates and the dollar loses its reserve crown+25.6%
14 bets · since Aug 14
- 3China's economy stumbles into a deflationary decade+20.9%
12 bets · since Aug 14
- 4The US elections will result in the Democratic Party winning both chambers of Congress and the start of impeachment+8.7%
7 bets · since Aug 17
- 5Arsenal remain the best team in England, Chelsea massively rebound under Xabi+8.1%
5 bets · since Aug 18
38 worldviews ranked · 1 new
LeaderboardFrom worldview to vault
Write it
“Google wins the AI race and OpenAI loses its crown”
Built Aug 15 · 15 bets
Tracked on paper
+77.2%
since Aug 15
Ranked
#1 of 38
Ranks after 7 days with 3 or more bets
Becomes a vault
Worldviews can become vaults you can invest in. We're rolling this out.











































